Notes & Analysis

6 Methods to Analyze a Property

  • analysis
  • research
  • evergreen

Is this property a good buy?

Today I am going to share six methods to help you assess whether a property is a good buy relative to its peers. All six are primarily comparison methods — you select comparable projects, then analyse:

  1. Normalisation of average PSF (land-cost PSF method)
  2. Velocity of resale transactions
  3. Price (average PSF) trend analysis
  4. Average rental yield analysis
  5. Rentability analysis
  6. Rental yield trend analysis

This article focuses on project-level assessment. Unit-level factors (stack, floor, condition) need a separate pass.

Case study context: Tables and charts below use a Bartley-area walkthrough with ~1Q2018–1Q2020 data. Treat them as a historical illustration of method — not live valuations. Source data for your own work: URA.

Here’s the kind of question that starts this process:

WhatsApp question: what do you think of this property?

The first step is to establish the value of Bartley Ridge against surrounding comparables. For this client case we used Botanique at Bartley, Bartley Residences, Oasis Garden, and The Gazania.

Information typically pulled for analysis:

  • Total number of residential units in the project
  • Type of tenure and remaining lease (preferably lease start year, not only TOP)
  • Average resale transacted PSF for the past two years
  • Average rental yield of the past two years
  • Number of resale transactions in the past two years
  • Number of rental transactions in the past two years

Two years of data is a practical window: recent enough to be relevant, long enough for usable sample size.

General project information

For this case we zoom into 2-bedroom data where possible.

ProjectTotal residential unitsTotal 2-bedroomsTenureTOP year
The Gazania25080Freehold2022
Botanique at Bartley79738299 years from 20142019
Bartley Ridge86827299 years from 20122016
Bartley Residences70222899 years from 20112015
Oasis Garden13436Freehold2009

Resale information

Average PSF and resale volume for 2-bedroom units (approx. 2018Q1–2020Q1):

Project analysis — average PSF and resale volume

With resale information in hand, we can start comparing Bartley Ridge’s 2-bedrooms against peers.

1. Normalisation of average PSF (land-cost PSF method)

One way to compare projects of different ages is to normalise average PSF toward a common remaining-lease base (often described as a land-cost PSF method). The idea is to “reset” projects of different ages to a comparable lease horizon.

Normalising for leasehold: take average PSF, divide by remaining lease years, multiply by 99:

Normalisation formula: average PSF ÷ remaining lease × 99

In words:

Normalised PSF ≈ (Average PSF ÷ Remaining lease years) × 99

For freehold, the original method used building age as the proxy instead of remaining lease.

After normalising the five projects:

ProjectRemaining lease (yrs)Average PSFNormalised to 99 years
The Gazania1012,235.502,191.23
Botanique at Bartley931,483.601,579.32
Bartley Ridge911,439.901,566.48
Bartley Residences901,332.741,466.01
Oasis Garden881,173.001,319.63

Among the Bartley series (Botanique, Bartley Ridge, Bartley Residences), Bartley Residences looks the better buy on normalised PSF — roughly 7.7% and 6.9% below Botanique and Bartley Ridge respectively after normalisation.

Among all five, Oasis Garden shows the largest normalised discount (~11% vs Bartley Residences) and is freehold. Earlier work on freehold vs leasehold capital appreciation still belongs in the decision — newness, facilities, MRT distance, and product type can outweigh a neat percentage gap.

2. Velocity of resale transactions

Velocity helps assess how easily a unit might sell: higher resale volume relative to stock often signals stronger market interest (with caveats for forced sales and mix).

ProjectTotal 2-bedroomsResale volume (1Q2018–1Q2020)Velocity
The Gazania8040.05
Botanique at Bartley382230.06
Bartley Ridge272350.13
Bartley Residences228510.22
Oasis Garden36170.47

Oasis Garden shows the highest 2-bed turnover relative to stock. In the Bartley series, Bartley Residences stands out (about 22 resales per 100 two-beds vs 13 and 6 for Bartley Ridge and Botanique).

Velocity here aligned with the land-cost PSF read: better relative pricing correlated with stronger resale activity.

3. Price (average PSF) trend

Price-trend charts show how each project behaved around market events and TOP:

Real estate analysis — price trend

In the original read:

  • Oasis Garden showed steadier long-run capital appreciation
  • Botanique at Bartley was still in a growth phase at the time
  • Bartley Ridge / Residences needed finer (monthly / unit-level) cuts for a clean trend call

Side note: average PSF can jump around TOP as unit mix shifts (e.g. larger 2-beds late in the book can pull PSF down). Always check which units traded in a period before over-interpreting a line.

Rental information

Gross rental yield and rental volume (approx. 1Q2019–1Q2020). The Gazania was excluded while under construction.

Real estate analysis — rental information

4. Average rental yield

Higher gross yield can improve income return — but may trade off against vacancy (next section).

In this cut: Botanique at Bartley ~3.23%, Bartley Residences ~3.05%, Bartley Ridge ~2.81%, Oasis Garden ~2.39%.

5. Rentability

Rentability ≈ rental transactions ÷ stock of that unit type — a proxy for how easily a tenant is found.

Rentability strip

ProjectTotal 2-bedroomsRental volumeRentability
Botanique at Bartley3825815.2%
Bartley Residences27220976.8%
Bartley Ridge22817074.6%
Oasis Garden362877.8%

Botanique’s higher yield sat next to much lower rentability. High yield with low rentability can mean long vacancy — time is an opportunity cost. Limitation: we usually do not know owner-occupier vs pure investment stock, so treat large gaps as a prompt to dig deeper, not as proof alone.

6. Rental yield trend

Gross rental yield trend

Between Q1 2018 and Q1 2020, the three completed peers’ yields moved differently. In the original read, Bartley Residences looked more attractive for tenants by Q1 2020 (~3.22% vs ~2.87% Bartley Ridge and ~2.35% Oasis Garden). Use consistent yield definitions when you rebuild this chart for a live shortlist.

Wrapping up

If you care most about…Lean on…
Relative capital value vs peersMethods 1 + 3
Exit liquidityMethod 2
IncomeMethods 4 + 5 + 6
Own-stay comfortMethods still help — do not over-optimise yield

Each method has strengths and weaknesses. For own stay, living comfort should not be over-compromised for a neat “best value” cell. For investment, yield without rentability is a trap; cheap normalised PSF without velocity can be one too.

See also

If you want this framework applied to a specific project or unit type, send the brief on WhatsApp — we write the comparison so you can revisit it.

Continue reading

Related notes